IEA Monthly Report: The decision of OPEC+has reduced the potential oversupply. The International Energy Agency (IEA) said today that the recent decision of OPEC+member countries to postpone the planned production increase has "greatly reduced" the potential oversupply next year. Nevertheless, IEA said that in view of the persistent overproduction in some OPEC+member countries, strong supply growth outside the alliance and moderate global oil demand growth, there may still be a serious oversupply in the oil market in 2025. IEA predicts that even if all OPEC+production reduction plans remain unchanged, supply will exceed demand by about 950,000 barrels per day next year. IEA said that if OPEC members start increasing production in April as planned, the oversupply will increase to 1.4 million barrels per day.On the 12th, the South Korean National Assembly voted to impeach the Minister of Justice Park Hyung-jae and the Director of the Police Department Zhao Zhihao.The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.
Mackler M, Governor of the Bank of Canada: (Regarding the potential tariff policy) We can't make policies based on what may happen. If the (US) tariffs are implemented as promised, it will cause serious damage to the Canadian economy.The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 39,900.00 mark, and the latest report was 39,899.07, up 1.34% in the day.The Japanese yen faces new risks. Strategists worry that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later to raise interest rates. A new risk is emerging for the Japanese yen. Foreign exchange strategists in Tokyo warn that the Bank of Japan may wait until March or later next year to raise interest rates. On Wednesday, the market tasted this danger, and the yen fell to its lowest level in more than two weeks as traders responded to a Bloomberg report that the Bank of Japan is known to think that it is no harm to raise interest rates later. The yen only fell to 152.82 against the dollar, and the market is still debating whether the Bank of Japan will take action at its next meeting on December 19 or about a month later. Shusuke Yamada, head of Japan's foreign exchange and interest rate strategy at Bank of America in Tokyo, said that if policymakers put off raising interest rates for a longer time, the situation would be very different. "If the interest rate hike is postponed until March, the yen carry trade is likely to make a comeback," Yamada said on Thursday. "The yen is likely to fall again to a level just below the 157 mark hit in 155 or November."
Lingang Daya Auto Parts Intelligent Manufacturing Base Project officially started. On the morning of December 12th, the groundbreaking ceremony of Lingang Daya Auto Parts Intelligent Manufacturing Base Project was held in Shanghai Lingang Fengxian Park. After the completion of the project, two 3500T/2500T high-speed multi-position stamping lines are designed, with an annual production capacity of 11 million pieces; Design 210 connection workstations such as spot welding/arc welding/projection welding/riveting, with an annual production capacity of 4 million sets of sheet metal parts; Design an intelligent logistics and three-dimensional warehouse.Japan's Shimane nuclear power plant operating company said that there was no abnormality in the reactor water level gauge of Unit 2, which was previously misjudged. Japan's China Electric Power Company conducted an investigation on the report that the reactor water level gauge of Unit 2 of Shimane nuclear power plant was once abnormal, and the results showed that there was no abnormality. The company said that the value displayed by the instrument was normal, but the operator misunderstood the data and misjudged it as abnormal. Earlier in the day, China Electric Power Company said that several water level meters failed to work in Unit 2 of Shimane Nuclear Power Plant that morning. The water level gauge is used to monitor the water level when a major accident occurs.IEA Monthly Report: So far, gasoline is the main factor that drags down the growth of global oil demand.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14